Paper Title
Forecasting Production through Statistical Technique
Abstract
Nowadays most business organizations specially manufacturing units are facing tough competition due to
globalization. The production managers are busy facing peculiar situation involving increase in variety and quality along
with reduction in lead time. The complexity of the problem is aggravated by uncertainty in demand patterns. Production
managers need to find out how much to produce in a particular time period, and arrange resources accordingly. While
product demand is generally forecasted by marketing department, the required levels of various manufacturing resources
such as raw material, labour, energy, capacity utilization, etc. need to be planned by the production managers. Statistical
techniques can be used to develop mathematical models to determine the level of various input resources to match
production with the product demand. One such mathematical model has been developed based on linear regression technique
using SPSS.
Keywords - forecasting, linear regression, production, product demand, manufacturing resources.